Friday, March 4, 2016

Unit 3 - Aggregate Demand (AD) & Aggregate Supply (AS)

Aggregate Demand Curve

AD = C + I + G + Xn
Shows the demand by consumers, businesses, government, and foreign countries.
Changes in the price level cause a move along the curve.

Why is the AD downward sloping?
  1. Real-Balance Effect
    • Higher price levels reduce the purchasing power of money.
    • This decreases the quantity of expenditures.
    • Lower price levels increase purchasing power and expenditures.
  2. Interest-Rate Effect
    • When the price level increases, lenders need to charge higher interest rates to get a REAL return on their loans.
    • Higher interest rates discourage consumer spending and business investment.
  3. Foreign Trade Effect
    • When U.S. price level rises, foreign buyers purchase fewer U.S. goods and Americans buy more foreign goods.
    • Exports fall and imports rise causing real GDP demanded to fall (Xn decreases).
Shifters of Aggregate Demand
  • GDP = C + Ig + G + Xn
  • Two parts to a shift in AD:
    • A change in C, Ig, G, and/or Xn.
    • A multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original change in the 4 components.
    • Increase in AD = AD > 
    • Decrease in AD = AD < 
  • Consumption
    • Household spending is affected by:
      • Consumer wealth ( ^ wealth, ^ spending)
    • Consumer expectations ( ^ expectations, ^ spending)
    • Household indebtedness ( if debt decreases, spending ^) 
    • Taxes (if taxes decrease, spending ^)
  • Gross Private Investment
    • Investment spending is sensitive to:
      • Real Interest Rate (if interest rate decreases, investment ^)\
      • Expected returns ( ^ expected returns = ^ Investment)
    • Influenced by: 
      • Expectations of future profitability
      • Technology
      • Degree of excess capacity
      • Business taxes
  • Government Spending
    • ^ government spending = AD > 
    • Decrease in government spending = AD < 
  • Net Exports
    • Sensitive to:
      • Exchange rates (International value of $)
        • Strong $ = more imports/fewer exports (AD < )
        • Weak $ = fewer imports/more exports (AD > )
      • Relative Income
        • Strong foreign economy = ^ exports (AD >)
        • Weak foreign economy = less exports ( AD < )
Aggregate Supply
  • Long Run
    • Input prices are completely flexible and adjust to changes in the price-level.
    • Real GDP is independent of price-level.
  • Short Run
    • Input prices are sticky and don't adjust to a change in price-level.
    • Level of Real GDP is directly related to price level.
  • Long Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
    • Marks the level of full employment in the economy.
    • Because input prices are completely flexible in the long-run, changes in price-level do not change firms' real profits.
    • LRAS = Vertical
  • Changes in SRAS
    • Increase in SRAS = >
    • Decrease in SRAS = < 
  • Per-Unit cost of production =  total input cost / total output
Determinants of SRAS
  • Input prices, productivity, and legal institutional environment affect unit cost per production.
  • Input prices
    • Domestic Resource prices
      • Wages (75% of all business costs)
      • Cost of capital
      • Raw Materials (Commodity prices)
    • Foreign Resource prices
    • Market power
    • Increase in Resource prices = SRAS < 
    • Decrease in Resource prices = SRAS >
  • Productivity = Total output / total input
    • More productivity = lower unit of production = SRAS >
    • Less productivity = higher unit of prodution = SRAS <
  • Legal Institutional Environment
    • Taxes and subsidies
    • Government regulation
      • Cost of compliance = SRAS <
      • Re-regulation = SRAS > 
Full Employment

  • FE Equilibrium exists where AD intersects SRAS and LRAS at the same time.
  • Recessionary Gap: When equilibrium point occurs below full employment output.
  • Inflationary Gap: When equilibrium point occurs beyond full employment output.
  • Classical(Vertical) Range: Inflationary 
  • Keynesian(Horizontal) Range: Recession

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